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Tariff Chaos Continues, Global 10% Tariffs, Tariff Refunds Explored
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Let's call this our 2026 prediction edition. We've made some predictions and are sharing those of others. Here's to hoping for a good 2026!


If you need help with your ecommerce accounting, sales tax, inventory management, CFO, or other accounting related issues, let us know.

Top 3

1. [WATCH] Tariff Chaos Continues

  • Supreme Court voids IEEPA tariffs
  • New 10% global tariff lasts 150 days.
  • Refunds possible for 2025 IEEPA tariffs; lawsuits and claims likely required.
  • 10% may rise to 15%; inventory timing decisions matter now.

2. [READ] Trump's global tariff takes effect at 10%, despite announcement of 15%

  • 10% global tariff took effect Tuesday, February 24 at 12:01 a.m. ET
  • Tariff applies to all countries unless specifically exempt
  • Administration using Section 122 authority for up to 150 days
  • Section 122 allows tariffs up to 15% without congressional approval

3. [READ] Tariff Refunds & Next Steps

  • Refund process unclear although there are existing procedures that may indicate the future
  • Court of International Trade controls path forward; refunds could take months or years
  • Gather documentation now in preparation for refund processes

In Other News

[READ] Eight questions (and expert answers) on what’s next for US tariff policy

  • Importers likely eligible for IEEPA tariff refunds; timing and process remain uncertain.
  • Consumers unlikely to receive refunds; only importers of record qualify.
  • Brazil, India, China benefit as rates drop from 15–50% to 10%.
  • UK and EU may face effective rates above 15% after MFN stacking.
  • EU suspends agreement implementation, seeking clarity on 15% tariff cap.
  • India and others may delay trade deals pending clearer US tariff policy.
  • De minimis suspension under $800 continues; legality likely headed for litigation.
  • Midterms unlikely to slow tariffs; volatility remains through next three years.

[READ] De minimis still shelved after Supreme Court’s tariff ruling

  • The U.S. de minimis exemption remains suspended, per an executive order on Friday, February 20.
  • IEEPA tariffs on small imports are replace by 10% global tariffs announced the same day.
  • Even if revived through legal challenges, de minimis would end July 2027 under existing legislation.

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